Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Sagaing region, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 6,015,590 (Wikidata).
5events, last 30 days
27events, last 90 days■ -4% vs prior 90 days
135events, last 12 months22.4 per million people
461est. deaths, last 12 monthsrange 460–591, 329 civilians
The level of recorded violence in Sagaing region, Myanmar was stable over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 27 events, close to the 28 of the prior quarter, with 46 estimated deaths.
The 12-month total for Sagaing region stands at 135 events and 461 estimated deaths. That is -15% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 460 and 591. 84% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 329. Relative to population, that is 22.4 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Myanmar (Burma) - NUG (81 events, 331 estimated deaths).
Recorded organized-violence events in Sagaing region, 1 Aug 2025 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.
Monthly trend
Recorded events per month in Sagaing region, last 24 months
Hotspots within Sagaing region, last 12 months
Area (second-level)
Events
Est. deaths
Shwebo district
61
199
Monywa district
42
111
Katha district
12
83
Sagaing district
10
51
Kale district
4
3
Mawlaik district
2
3
Tamu district
2
2
Hkamti district
1
7
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
Date
Where
Parties
Est. deaths
28 Jun 2026
Sagaing district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 8 civilian, 2 sources
8
17 Jun 2026
Shwebo district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 4 civilian
4
21 May 2026
Shwebo district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 4 civilian
4
5 May 2026
Shwebo district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 3 civilian, 2 sources
3
27 Jul 2026
Sagaing district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 1 civilian
2
26 Jun 2026
Shwebo district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 1 civilian
2
20 Jun 2026
Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian
2
19 Jun 2026
Monywa district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian
2
1 Jun 2026
Shwebo district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 1 civilian
2
9 May 2026
Monywa district Sagaing region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 2 civilian
How many conflict events were recorded in Sagaing region in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 135 organized-violence events in Sagaing region between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 461 deaths (range 460 to 591).
Is violence in Sagaing region increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (27) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (28).
Who are the main armed actors in Sagaing region?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Myanmar (135 events), NUG (81 events), SCEF (30 events), KIO (2 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Sagaing region?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Sagaing region, 84% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.