Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Bago region, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 5,678,069 (Wikidata).
5events, last 30 days
15events, last 90 days▼ -40% vs prior 90 days
82events, last 12 months14.4 per million people
205est. deaths, last 12 monthsrange 205–276, 173 civilians
Bago region, Myanmar logged 15 events and 38 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, -40% against the preceding 90 days.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 82 events and 205 estimated deaths were recorded in Bago region. That is +12% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 205 and 276. 88% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 173. Relative to population, that is 14.4 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Myanmar (Burma) - KNU (29 events, 111 estimated deaths).
Recorded organized-violence events in Bago region, 1 Aug 2025 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.
Monthly trend
Recorded events per month in Bago region, last 24 months
Hotspots within Bago region, last 12 months
Area (second-level)
Events
Est. deaths
Taungoo district
36
92
Thayarwady district
21
40
Bago district
19
67
Pyay district
6
6
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
Date
Where
Parties
Est. deaths
25 Jul 2026
Taungoo district Bago region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 8 civilian, 2 sources
8
7 May 2026
Taungoo district Bago region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 6 civilian
6
10 Jun 2026
Thayarwady district Bago region
SCEF vs Civilians One-sided, 5 civilian
5
16 Jun 2026
Thayarwady district Bago region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 3 civilian
3
7 May 2026
Taungoo district Bago region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 2 civilian
3
13 Jul 2026
Taungoo district Bago region
Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 2 civilian
2
26 May 2026
Thayarwady district Bago region
Government of Myanmar vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian, 2 sources
How many conflict events were recorded in Bago region in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 82 organized-violence events in Bago region between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 205 deaths (range 205 to 276).
Is violence in Bago region increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (15) were down -40% from the preceding 90 days (25).
Who are the main armed actors in Bago region?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Myanmar (81 events), KNU (29 events), NUG (25 events), SCEF (19 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Bago region?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Bago region, 88% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.