Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Tanintharyi region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Tanintharyi regionPopulation about 1,380,567 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 25.

UCDP recorded 3 eventsP of organized violence in Tanintharyi region, Myanmar in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 3P. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 25 eventsP in Tanintharyi region, Myanmar. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 81P. The low estimate is 81 and the high estimate is 90P. UCDP counts 40P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 13 regions of Myanmar with a page, Tanintharyi region has the 8th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Tanintharyi region holds 4 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 51 events in Tanintharyi region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 25P, which is down 51 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Myanmar as a whole went from 797 to 583P, which is down 27 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 60 percentP of the events in Tanintharyi region in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Myanmar, the share is 86 percentP.

Table 1. Tanintharyi region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events3225
Estimated deaths, best estimate3381
Low estimate of deaths3381
High estimate of deaths3390
Deaths of civilians1140

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Tanintharyi region, Myanmar on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Tanintharyi region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Tanintharyi region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 25 events with 81 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Tanintharyi region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Myanmar (Burma)24P76P
KNU9P23P
KTLA1P5P
NUG11
SCEF6P40P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Tanintharyi region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Tanintharyi region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Dawei district18P37P
Kawthoung district1P1P
Myeik district5P41P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Tanintharyi region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict15P60%
Non-state conflict1P4%
One-sided violence against civilians9P36%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Tanintharyi region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20263P3PCandidate Events
August 20262P3PCandidate Events
July 20262P4PCandidate Events
June 20261P3PCandidate Events
May 20262P27PCandidate Events
April 20262P7PCandidate Events
March 20267P27PCandidate Events
February 20264P4PCandidate Events
November 202523GED
September 202543GED
August 202535GED
July 2025821GED
June 202556GED
May 202555GED
April 202547GED
March 202546GED
February 202537GED
January 202522GED
December 202424GED
November 202457GED
October 202469GED
September 202414GED
August 202422GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Myanmar: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Tanintharyi region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/myanmar/tanintharyi-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Tanintharyi region, Myanmar in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 3 eventsP of organized violence in Tanintharyi region, Myanmar in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Tanintharyi region, Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 81P. The low estimate is 81 and the high estimate is 90P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.