Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Mandalay region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Mandalay regionPopulation about 6,283,663 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 7 eventsP of organized violence in Mandalay region, Myanmar in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 15P. The count for August 2026 was 3 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 58 eventsP in Mandalay region, Myanmar. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 243P. The low estimate is 242 and the high estimate is 260P. UCDP counts 106P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 13 regions of Myanmar with a page, Mandalay region has the 5th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Mandalay region holds 10 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 118 events in Mandalay region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 58P, which is down 51 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Myanmar as a whole went from 797 to 583P, which is down 27 percent. For the events in Mandalay region, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Myanmar.

Table 1. Mandalay region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events7358
Estimated deaths, best estimate155243
Low estimate of deaths155242
High estimate of deaths155260
Deaths of civilians124106

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Mandalay region, Myanmar on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Mandalay region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Mandalay region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 58 events with 243 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Mandalay region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Myanmar (Burma)58P243P
NUG24P148P
PSLF13
SCEF24P72P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Mandalay region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Mandalay region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Mandalay district11
Meiktila district5P13P
Myingyan district36P197P
Nyaung-u district1P1P
Pyinoolwin district14P30P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Mandalay region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict49P84%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians9P16%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Mandalay region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20267P15PCandidate Events
August 20263P5PCandidate Events
July 20262P2PCandidate Events
June 20262P7PCandidate Events
May 20265P23PCandidate Events
April 20268P27PCandidate Events
March 20265P11PCandidate Events
February 20262P4PCandidate Events
January 20261P100PCandidate Events
December 202555GED
November 20251020GED
October 2025824GED
September 2025625GED
August 20251477GED
July 20251242GED
June 202577GED
May 20251022GED
April 20251048GED
March 2025751GED
February 2025814GED
January 20251237GED
December 20241537GED
November 2024721GED
October 20241027GED
September 2024324GED
August 20241036GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Myanmar: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Mandalay region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/myanmar/mandalay-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Mandalay region, Myanmar in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 7 eventsP of organized violence in Mandalay region, Myanmar in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 3 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Mandalay region, Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 243P. The low estimate is 242 and the high estimate is 260P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.