Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

ConflictStats

Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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SCEF: events recorded by UCDP

Data through The name is the name that UCDP writes

UCDP recorded 189 eventsP that involve SCEF in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 527P.

The low estimate is 526 and the high estimate is 594P. The count holds each event in which this actor is one of the two sides. It does not say which side caused a death. UCDP recorded these events in 1 country.

Among the 133 actors with a page, SCEF has the 32nd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. SCEF is one of the two sides in 1 percentP of the 22,144P events in all countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded no events that involve SCEF. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 189P, which is up from no events. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 99 percentP of the events that involve SCEF in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

What UCDP calls an actor

A state or a non-state formally organised or informally organised group.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 189 events that involve SCEF in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 (preliminary). The count for the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026 was 147 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events that involve SCEF, by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
Events that involve SCEF, by month, newest first
MonthEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Sep 202638P106P
Aug 202629P67P
Jul 202621P55P
Jun 202627P75P
May 202637P119P
Apr 202636P103P
Mar 20261P2P
Feb 20260P0P
Jan 20260P0P
Dec 202500
Nov 202500
Oct 202500
Sep 202500
Aug 202500
Jul 202500
Jun 202500
May 202500
Apr 202500
Mar 202500
Feb 202500
Jan 202500
Dec 202400
Nov 202400
Oct 202400

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Countries and regions

Where UCDP recorded the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table of regions has 8 regions at most.

Table 1. Countries of the events that involve SCEF, in name order
CountryEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Myanmar189P527P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Table 2. Regions of the events that involve SCEF, in name order
RegionCountryEvents
Bago regionMyanmar24P
Chin stateMyanmar9P
Kachin stateMyanmar16P
Kayah stateMyanmar11P
Magway regionMyanmar26P
Mandalay regionMyanmar24P
Mon stateMyanmar9P
Sagaing regionMyanmar50P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 2. Events that involve SCEF, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 189 events with 527 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Other sides

The other side of the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table has 6 names at most.

Table 3. Other sides in the events that involve SCEF, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Myanmar (Burma)187P517P
KTLA1P5P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. SCEF: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict187P99%
Non-state conflict1P1%
One-sided violence against civilians1P1%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. SCEF: events recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/actor/scef/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events that involve SCEF did UCDP record?

UCDP recorded 189 eventsP that involve SCEF in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

What is an actor in UCDP data?

UCDP calls each side of an event an actor. An actor is a state, or a non-state group that is formally or informally organised. This site writes the name as UCDP writes it. It replaces the name of a group that is named for a person.

In which countries did UCDP record these events?

UCDP recorded them in Myanmar.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.