Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Kachin state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Kachin statePopulation about 373,024 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Kachin state, Myanmar in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in this event is 0P. The low estimate is 0 and the high estimate is 2P. The count for August 2026 was 5 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 30 eventsP in Kachin state, Myanmar. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 130P. The low estimate is 100 and the high estimate is 149P. UCDP counts 90P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 13 regions of Myanmar with a page, Kachin state has the 7th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Kachin state holds 5 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 33 events in Kachin state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 30P, which is down 9 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Myanmar as a whole went from 797 to 583P, which is down 27 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 93 percentP of the events in Kachin state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Myanmar, the share is 86 percentP.

Table 1. Kachin state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1530
Estimated deaths, best estimate010130
Low estimate of deaths010100
High estimate of deaths215149
Deaths of civilians01090

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Kachin state, Myanmar on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Kachin state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Kachin state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 30 events with 130 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Kachin state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Myanmar (Burma)30P130P
KIO12P95P
SCEF16P30P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Kachin state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Kachin state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bhamo district10P77P
Mohnyin district15P49P
Myitkyina district4P4P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Kachin state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict28P93%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians2P7%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Kachin state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20261P0PCandidate Events
August 20265P10PCandidate Events
July 20261P2PCandidate Events
June 20263P16PCandidate Events
May 20263P4PCandidate Events
April 20265P3PCandidate Events
March 20261P30PCandidate Events
February 20266P8PCandidate Events
January 20261P22PCandidate Events
December 202513GED
November 202522GED
October 2025130GED
September 2025739GED
August 2025813GED
July 202511GED
May 2025230GED
March 2025231GED
February 2025310GED
January 2025426GED
December 2024331GED
November 202419GED
October 202423GED
September 2024333GED
August 202412GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Myanmar: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Kachin state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/myanmar/kachin-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Kachin state, Myanmar in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Kachin state, Myanmar in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 5 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Kachin state, Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 130P. The low estimate is 100 and the high estimate is 149P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.