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Kachin state, Myanmar: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Kachin state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 373,024 (Wikidata).
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 5 organized-violence events in Kachin state, Myanmar, down -55% from 11 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 5.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 37 events and 155 estimated deaths were recorded in Kachin state. That is +68% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 125 and 200. 97% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 89. Relative to population, that is 99.2 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Myanmar (Burma) - KIO (27 events, 147 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025
Events in Kachin state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Kachin state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Mohnyin district | 25 | 67 |
| Bhamo district | 7 | 72 |
| Myitkyina district | 5 | 16 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Mohnyin district Kachin state | Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 3 civilian | 3 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | Bhamo district Kachin state | Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 7 May 2026 | Mohnyin district Kachin state | Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 4 Jun 2026 | Bhamo district Kachin state | Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based | 0 0–2 |
| 19 May 2026 | Mohnyin district Kachin state | Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based | 0 0–4 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Myanmar | 37 | 155 |
| KIO | 27 | 147 |
| SCEF | 9 | 7 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Myanmar (Burma) - KIO | 27 | 147 |
| Government of Myanmar (Burma) - SCEF | 9 | 7 |
| Government of Myanmar (Burma) - Civilians | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 36 | 97% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 1 | 3% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Kachin state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 37 organized-violence events in Kachin state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 155 deaths (range 125 to 200).
Is violence in Kachin state increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (5) were down -55% from the preceding 90 days (11).
Who are the main armed actors in Kachin state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Myanmar (37 events), KIO (27 events), SCEF (9 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Kachin state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Kachin state, 97% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025May 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024
Other regions of Myanmar
Sagaing region · Magway region · Bago region · Rakhine state · Chin state · Mandalay region · Mon state · Tanintharyi region · Kayah state · Kayin state · Shan state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.