Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Nigeria: events and estimated deaths in September 2026

Monthly reportDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

UCDP recorded 143 eventsP of organized violence in Nigeria in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 451P. The low estimate is 435 and the high estimate is 455P. UCDP counts 152P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for August 2026 was 161 eventsP.

The count for September 2025 was 69 events. The change from September 2025 to September 2026 is up 107 percentP. Among the 26 months with a report for Nigeria, September 2026 has the 5th highest count of events. Nigeria holds 7 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in September 2026. In September 2025, the share was 3 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Regions

The table has 10 regions at most.

Table 1. Nigeria, September 2026: events and estimated deaths by region, in name order
RegionEventsPEstimated deathsP
Adamawa state535
Benue state44
Borno state1082
Kaduna state1222
Katsina state1041
Kebbi state523
Niger state618
Plateau state4795
Sokoto state935
Zamfara state1767

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 1. Events in Nigeria, September 2026. The map shows 143 events with 451 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Nigeria has each event.

Table 2. Nigeria, September 2026: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (9 of 143 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
2 Sep 2026Bama lga, Borno stateIS; JASNon-state242424
6 Sep 2026Rabah lga, Sokoto stateGroup named for a person (name not shown); CiviliansOne-sided10710
7 Sep 2026Gombi lga, Adamawa stateIS; CiviliansOne-sided121212
11 Sep 2026Marte lga, Borno stateGovernment of Nigeria; ISState-based191919
16 Sep 2026Maru lga, Zamfara stateActor not identified by UCDP; CiviliansOne-sided333333
21 Sep 2026Bakori lga, Katsina stateActor not identified by UCDP; Actor not identified by UCDPState-based181818
22 Sep 2026Bagudo lga, Kebbi stateFulani; KambariNon-state151515
30 Sep 2026Marte lga, Borno stateIS; CiviliansOne-sided181818
30 Sep 2026Gombi lga, Adamawa stateGovernment of Nigeria; ISState-based161616

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 3. Nigeria: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of September 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP110P277P
Birom4P8P
Black Axe2P2P
Black Axe, SVC1P3P
Eyie2P4P
Fulani12P43P
Government of Nigeria13P58P
Group named for a person (name not shown)3P17P
IS15P109P
JAS1P24P
Kambari1P15P
Kamuku1P6P
Mambila1P7P
Mwaghavul5P7P
SVC1P1P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Nigeria: events by type of violence, September 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict43P30%
Non-state conflict57P40%
One-sided violence against civilians43P30%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

All months

Table 5. Monthly reports of Nigeria, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 2026143P451PCandidate Events
August 2026161P992PCandidate Events
July 2026116P551PCandidate Events
June 2026166P614PCandidate Events
May 2026145P1,010PCandidate Events
April 2026182P1,034PCandidate Events
March 2026113P698PCandidate Events
February 2026108P712PCandidate Events
January 2026142P719PCandidate Events
December 202559358GED
November 202544340GED
October 202551255GED
September 202569336GED
August 202569262GED
July 202567222GED
June 202568469GED
May 202585648GED
April 202568401GED
March 202559248GED
February 202546191GED
January 202547428GED
December 202427182GED
November 202457255GED
October 202452330GED
September 202439235GED
August 202430408GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Nigeria: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Nigeria: events and estimated deaths in September 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/nigeria/month/2026-09/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.