Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Government of Nigeria: events recorded by UCDP

Data through The name is the name that UCDP writes

UCDP recorded 355 eventsP that involve Government of Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 2,795P.

The low estimate is 2,420 and the high estimate is 3,685P. The count holds each event in which this actor is one of the two sides. It does not say which side caused a death. UCDP recorded these events in 3 countries.

Among the 133 actors with a page, Government of Nigeria has the 28th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Government of Nigeria is one of the two sides in 2 percentP of the 22,144P events in all countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 358 events that involve Government of Nigeria. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 355P, which is down 1 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 95 percentP of the events that involve Government of Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

What UCDP calls an actor

A state or a non-state formally organised or informally organised group.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Since the last update

The log has no change for Government of Nigeria on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events that involve Government of Nigeria, by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
Events that involve Government of Nigeria, by month, newest first
MonthEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Sep 202614P67P
Aug 202634P233P
Jul 202623P201P
Jun 202622P103P
May 202641P508P
Apr 202639P434P
Mar 202637P324P
Feb 202631P143P
Jan 202641P247P
Dec 202530239
Nov 202523124
Oct 202520172
Sep 202542222
Aug 202534133
Jul 20253876
Jun 202530166
May 202539320
Apr 20252065
Mar 202535142
Feb 20251544
Jan 202520213
Dec 20241791
Nov 202435210
Oct 202433293

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Countries and regions

Where UCDP recorded the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table of regions has 8 regions at most.

Table 1. Countries of the events that involve Government of Nigeria, in name order
CountryEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Chad5P68P
Niger1P19P
Nigeria349P2,708P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Table 2. Regions of the events that involve Government of Nigeria, in name order
RegionCountryEvents
Adamawa stateNigeria13P
Anambra stateNigeria8P
Borno stateNigeria231P
Imo stateNigeria9P
Kebbi stateNigeria11P
Sokoto stateNigeria10P
Yobe stateNigeria30P
Zamfara stateNigeria8P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 2. Events that involve Government of Nigeria, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 355 events with 2,795 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Other sides

The other side of the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table has 6 names at most.

Table 3. Other sides in the events that involve Government of Nigeria, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Group named for a person (name not shown)14P228P
IPOB21P32P
IS273P2,187P
JAS29P293P
JNIM1P0P

Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Government of Nigeria: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict338P95%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians17P5%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Government of Nigeria: events recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/actor/government-of-nigeria/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events that involve Government of Nigeria did UCDP record?

UCDP recorded 355 eventsP that involve Government of Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

What is an actor in UCDP data?

UCDP calls each side of an event an actor. An actor is a state, or a non-state group that is formally or informally organised. This site writes the name as UCDP writes it. It replaces the name of a group that is named for a person.

In which countries did UCDP record these events?

UCDP recorded them in Chad and Niger and Nigeria.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.