Countries › Nigeria

Nigeria conflict statistics

Name: Nigeria conflict event statistics
Creator: Uppsala Conflict Data Program
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published.

135events, last 30 days

448events, last 90 days■ +7% vs prior 90 days

1,310events, last 12 months

7,021est. deaths, last 12 months2,050 civilians

Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 448 organized-violence events in Nigeria, broadly level with 420 in the preceding 90 days (+7%). Estimated deaths in the period: 2,235.

Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 1,310 events and 7,021 estimated deaths were recorded in Nigeria. That is +103% on the previous 12 months. 45% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 2,050.

The most affected areas over the last 90 days were Borno state (67), Plateau state (64), Zamfara state (57). Together they hold 42% of the period's events.

The most frequently recorded parties over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group, Government of Nigeria, IS.

Events in Nigeria, last 90 days

Recorded organized-violence events in Nigeria, 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutline: Natural Earth.

Monthly trend

Recorded events per month in Nigeria, last 24 months

Estimated deaths per month in Nigeria, last 24 months

Most affected regions

Region	Events, 90d	Change	Events, 12m	Deaths, 12m	Last event
Borno state	67	-33%	354	2,820	26 Jul 2026
Plateau state	64	+42%	146	463	31 Jul 2026
Zamfara state	57	+63%	103	653	28 Jul 2026
Sokoto state	35	+52%	79	414	31 Jul 2026
Niger state	34	+55%	66	482	25 Jul 2026
Benue state	33	-25%	130	394	29 Jul 2026
Kaduna state	22	+267%	30	150	26 Jul 2026
Katsina state	18	-5%	46	262	29 Jul 2026
Kwara state	13	-28%	33	233	27 Jul 2026
Kebbi state	12	-40%	39	220	27 Jul 2026
Kogi state	11	+120%	16	24	5 Jul 2026
Yobe state	9	-50%	45	289	21 Jul 2026
Oyo state	9	+200%	17	38	10 Jul 2026
Adamawa state	7	-36%	28	205	23 Jul 2026
Osun state	7	+600%	11	12	25 Jul 2026
Lagos state	5	-58%	35	54	21 Jul 2026
Imo state	5	0%	16	34	27 Jun 2026
Taraba state	4	+33%	12	80	5 Jul 2026
Rivers state	4	+33%	7	13	26 Jul 2026
Nasarawa state	3	0%	9	34	27 Jul 2026
Delta state	3	0%	9	13	19 Jun 2026
Bauchi state	3	+200%	7	17	1 Jul 2026
Federal Capital territory	3	0%	6	11	8 Jul 2026
Anambra state	2	-50%	11	21	21 Jul 2026
Enugu state	2	+100%	7	8	25 Jul 2026
Ogun state	2	+100%	7	17	8 Jun 2026
Bayelsa state	2	-33%	6	6	12 Jul 2026

9 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.

Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days

Date	Where	Parties	Est. deaths
16 May 2026	Borno state	Government of Nigeria vs IS State-based	113
10 May 2026	Niger state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 13 civilian	83
10 May 2026	Zamfara state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 2 civilian	72
7 May 2026	Yobe state	Government of Nigeria vs IS State-based	52
31 May 2026	Borno state	Government of Nigeria vs IS State-based	51
1 Jul 2026	Niger state	Fulani vs Kamuku Non-state	48
26 Jul 2026	Katsina state	Government of Nigeria vs Forces of Abasu Aiki State-based	41
16 May 2026	Borno state	Government of Nigeria vs IS State-based	41
10 Jul 2026	Zamfara state	Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based	37
26 Jul 2026	Kaduna state	Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 31 civilian	31

Most recorded parties, last 12 months

Party	Events	Est. deaths in those events
Unidentified armed group	992	3,991
Government of Nigeria	378	2,744
IS	373	2,837
Fulani	113	374
JAS	63	1,019
Black Axe	57	104

Type of violence, last 12 months

Category	Events	Share
State-based armed conflict	586	45%
Non-state conflict	416	32%
One-sided violence against civilians	308	24%

Long-run view: events per year

Year	Events	Est. deaths
2017	509	3,594
2018	536	3,244
2019	537	2,481
2020	643	3,120
2021	532	3,234
2022	485	2,970
2023	652	4,150
2024	502	3,201
2025	732	4,158
2026 (to date)	1,018	5,470

Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.

Recent reports and news

Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)

UNHCR Nigeria Forcibly Displaced Populations Dashboard - 1 September 2026 ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
UNHCR Lake Chad Basin: Nigerian Refugees & Repatriation Overview - 1 September 2026 ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
UNHCR Nigeria Refugees & Asylum-seekers Dashboard - 1 September 2026 ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
Accountability to Affected People (AAP) Assessment: Community Perceptions of Humanitarian Assistance, Communication and Feedback Mechanisms in Borno, Adamawa and Yobe (BAY) States, Northeast Nigeria ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
WFP Nigeria Country Brief, August 2026 ReliefWeb, 13 Sep 2026
IOM Nigeria Flash Report #296: Population Displacement - North-west Nigeria - Katsina State - Conflict/Attacks (11 September 2026) ReliefWeb, 12 Sep 2026
IOM Nigeria Flash Report #297: Population Displacement - North-west Nigeria - Zamfara State - Conflict/Attacks (10 September 2026) ReliefWeb, 12 Sep 2026
Nigeria — Transhumance Tracking Tool — Flow Monitoring Dashboard 22 — Katsina and Zamfara States (July 2026) ReliefWeb, 10 Sep 2026

Frequently asked questions

How many conflict events were recorded in Nigeria in the last 12 months?

UCDP recorded 1,310 organized-violence events in Nigeria between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 7,021 deaths.

Is violence in Nigeria increasing or decreasing?

Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (448) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (420).

Which regions of Nigeria are most affected?

Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Borno state (67), Plateau state (64), Zamfara state (57), Sokoto state (35), Niger state (34).

What kind of violence is recorded in Nigeria?

UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Nigeria, 45% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.

Where does this data come from?

Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.

Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.