Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Lower Shabelle region, Somalia: events and estimated deaths in March 2025

Monthly report of a regionDataset: UCDP GEDData through

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a monthly report when three things are true. The page of the region is listed. The month is one of the last 12 months. The month has 30 or more events.

UCDP recorded 9 events of organized violence in Lower Shabelle region, Somalia in March 2025. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 179. The low estimate is 179 and the high estimate is 209. UCDP counts 0 of these deaths as deaths of civilians. UCDP recorded no events in February 2025.

Among the 24 months with a report for Lower Shabelle region, Somalia, March 2025 has the 7th highest count of events. Lower Shabelle region, Somalia holds 30 percent of the events that UCDP recorded in Somalia in March 2025.

The report of the country for this month: Somalia, March 2025.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Events

The table lists each event of the month. The CSV file of Somalia has each event.

Table 1. Lower Shabelle region, March 2025: the events of the month, in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsLowHigh
12 Mar 2025Afgoye district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based444
13 Mar 2025Afgoye district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based121212
15 Mar 2025Afgoye district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based1131
17 Mar 2025Wanla Weyne district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based555
19 Mar 2025Afgoye district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based828282
20 Mar 2025Afgoye district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based222
29 Mar 2025Afgoye district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based333
31 Mar 2025Afgoye district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based303030
31 Mar 2025Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based404040

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Lower Shabelle region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of March 2025, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Al-Shabaab9179
Government of Somalia9179

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

All months

Table 3. Monthly reports of Lower Shabelle region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20264P4PCandidate Events
August 202611P15PCandidate Events
July 202612P73PCandidate Events
June 202611P159PCandidate Events
May 20265P142PCandidate Events
April 20268P54PCandidate Events
March 20267P73PCandidate Events
February 20266P25PCandidate Events
January 202610P44PCandidate Events
December 2025744GED
November 2025656GED
October 20251127GED
September 2025714GED
August 202513252GED
July 2025526GED
June 2025971GED
May 202536GED
April 2025233GED
March 20259179GED
December 202419GED
November 2024316GED
October 202412GED
September 202413GED
August 202426GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Lower Shabelle region: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Lower Shabelle region, Somalia: events and estimated deaths in March 2025. https://conflictstats.com/country/somalia/lower-shabelle-region/month/2025-03/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.