Somalia › Lower Shabelle region › December 2025
Lower Shabelle region: conflict events in December 2025
Monthly report from UCDP event data for Lower Shabelle region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, December 2025.
Lower Shabelle region, Somalia saw 7 recorded events and 44 estimated deaths in December 2025. That is +17% compared with 6 events the month before. The death toll range is 44 to 72.
100% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths: 31.
The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 7 events.
Where events happened
Deadliest events, December 2025
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 31 civilian, 2 sources | 31 |
| 11 Dec 2025 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 3 sources | 12 |
| 25 Dec 2025 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 2 sources | 1 1–5 |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–3 |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–10 |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Qoryoley district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–9 |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Wanla Weyne district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–2 |
Parties
| Party | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Somalia | 7 | 44 |
| Al-Shabaab | 7 | 44 |
All months
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
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Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.