Somalia › Lower Shabelle region › January 2026
Lower Shabelle region: conflict events in January 2026
Monthly report from UCDP event data for Lower Shabelle region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, January 2026.
In January 2026, UCDP recorded 10 organized-violence events in Lower Shabelle region, Somalia, with 44 estimated deaths. That is +43% compared with 7 events the month before. The death toll range is 44 to 63.
100% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict.
The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 10 events.
Where events happened
Deadliest events, January 2026
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | Marka district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 2 sources | 31 |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Marka district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 6 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Qoryoley district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 4 |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 1 |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sablale disctrict Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 1 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 2 sources | 1 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–7 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–7 |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–2 |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wanla Weyne district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–3 |
Parties
| Party | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Somalia | 10 | 44 |
| Al-Shabaab | 10 | 44 |
All months
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
← Lower Shabelle region overview
Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.