ConflictStats

SomaliaLower Shabelle region › September 2025

Lower Shabelle region: conflict events in September 2025

Monthly report from UCDP event data for Lower Shabelle region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, September 2025.

7events13 the month before
14est. deathsrange 13–33
1civilian deaths

Lower Shabelle region, Somalia saw 7 recorded events and 14 estimated deaths in September 2025. That is -46% compared with 13 events the month before. The death toll range is 13 to 33.

71% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths: 1.

The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 5 events.

Where events happened

2025-09-30: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-09-28: Government of Somalia vs Civilians (0 deaths)2025-09-17: Al-Shabaab vs Civilians (1 deaths)2025-09-17: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (10 deaths)2025-09-14: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (1 deaths)2025-09-09: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (2 deaths)2025-09-06: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)
Recorded organized-violence events in Lower Shabelle region, September 2025. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.

Deadliest events, September 2025

DateWherePartiesEst. deaths
17 Sep 2025Qoryoley district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 3 sources
10
9 Sep 2025Qoryoley district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 5 sources
2
17 Sep 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Al-Shabaab vs Civilians
One-sided, 1 civilian
1
0–1
14 Sep 2025Marka district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 2 sources
1
30 Sep 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–3
28 Sep 2025Wanla Weyne district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Civilians
One-sided
0
0–13
6 Sep 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–3

Parties

PartyEventsEst. deaths
Al-Shabaab614
Government of Somalia613

All months

Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024

← Lower Shabelle region overview

Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.