ConflictStats

SomaliaLower Shabelle region › August 2025

Lower Shabelle region: conflict events in August 2025

Monthly report from UCDP event data for Lower Shabelle region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, August 2025.

13events5 the month before
252est. deathsrange 251–343
2civilian deaths

In August 2025, UCDP recorded 13 organized-violence events in Lower Shabelle region, Somalia, with 252 estimated deaths. That is +160% compared with 5 events the month before. The death toll range is 251 to 343.

100% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths: 2.

The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 13 events.

Where events happened

2025-08-27: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (4 deaths)2025-08-21: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (2 deaths)2025-08-17: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (100 deaths)2025-08-07: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (3 deaths)2025-08-04: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (1 deaths)2025-08-04: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-08-03: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-08-03: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (72 deaths)2025-08-03: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (5 deaths)2025-08-02: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-08-01: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-08-01: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (50 deaths)2025-08-01: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (15 deaths)
Recorded organized-violence events in Lower Shabelle region, August 2025. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.

Deadliest events, August 2025

DateWherePartiesEst. deaths
17 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
100
3 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 2 sources
72
1 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 4 sources
50
1 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
15
3 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 2 sources
5
27 Aug 2025Qoryoley district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
4
7 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 2 sources
3
2–3
21 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 2 civilian
2
4 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
1
1–48
4 Aug 2025Afgoye district
Lower Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–9

Parties

PartyEventsEst. deaths
Government of Somalia13252
Al-Shabaab13252

All months

Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024

← Lower Shabelle region overview

Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.