Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Amhara state, Ethiopia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Amhara statePopulation about 19,120,005 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 39 eventsP of organized violence in Amhara state, Ethiopia in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 313P. The low estimate is 298 and the high estimate is 1,019P. The count for August 2026 was 23 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 530 eventsP in Amhara state, Ethiopia. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 3,626P. The low estimate is 2,497 and the high estimate is 10,680P. UCDP counts 96P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 8 regions of Ethiopia with a page, Amhara state has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Amhara state holds 56 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Ethiopia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 511 events in Amhara state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 530P, which is up 4 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Ethiopia as a whole went from 1,394 to 947P, which is down 32 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 95 percentP of the events in Amhara state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Ethiopia, the share is 78 percentP.

Table 1. Amhara state, Ethiopia: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events3923530
Estimated deaths, best estimate3131473,626
Low estimate of deaths298492,497
High estimate of deaths1,01938110,680
Deaths of civilians2596

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 39 events in Amhara state, Ethiopia, in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 23 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

050100Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Amhara state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Amhara state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 530 events with 3,626 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Amhara state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP4P24P
Agew Shengo1P3P
ALF3P2P
Amhara1P10P
EPFAS31P286P
Fano473P3,278P
Government of Ethiopia515P3,558P
OLA2P0P
Qimant1P10P
TPF1P0P
TPLF4P0P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Amhara state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Amhara state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Awi zone35P370P
Central Gondar zone40P240P
East Gojjam zone60P129P
North Gojjam zone28P451P
North Shewa (Amhara) zone32P120P
North Welo zone71P465P
South Gondar zone68P1,027P
South Welo zone51P161P
West Gojjam zone66P444P
West Gondar zone16P59P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Amhara state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict504P95%
Non-state conflict5P1%
One-sided violence against civilians21P4%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Amhara state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202639P313PCandidate Events
August 202623P147PCandidate Events
July 202639P161PCandidate Events
June 202630P282PCandidate Events
May 202626P114PCandidate Events
April 202651P188PCandidate Events
March 202656P575PCandidate Events
February 202658P396PCandidate Events
January 202639P191PCandidate Events
December 202550157GED
November 202546686GED
October 202573416GED
September 202537591GED
August 202545240GED
July 202546131GED
June 202551244GED
May 202556199GED
April 202549505GED
March 202564499GED
February 20253366GED
January 202555258GED
December 202422103GED
November 202418134GED
October 202435331GED
September 202431232GED
August 20248142GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Ethiopia: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Amhara state, Ethiopia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/ethiopia/amhara-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Amhara state, Ethiopia in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 39 eventsP of organized violence in Amhara state, Ethiopia in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 23 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Amhara state, Ethiopia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 3,626P. The low estimate is 2,497 and the high estimate is 10,680P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.