Countries › Ethiopia › January 2026
Ethiopia: conflict events in January 2026
Monthly report from UCDP event data.
In January 2026, UCDP recorded 91 organized-violence events in Ethiopia, with 300 estimated deaths. That is +11% compared with 82 events the month before. The death toll range is 271 to 1,351.
64% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths: 44.
Events were concentrated in Amhara state (39), Tigray state (27), Oromiya state (19).
The most active pairing was Government of Ethiopia - Fano with 36 events.
Where events happened
Regions, January 2026
| Region | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Amhara state | 39 | 191 |
| Tigray state | 27 | 21 |
| Oromiya state | 19 | 27 |
| Benishangul-Gumuz state | 2 | 41 |
| Central Ethiopia regional state | 1 | 16 |
| Gambella state | 1 | 1 |
| Afar state | 1 | 0 |
Deadliest events, January 2026
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | North Welo zone Amhara state | Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based | 100 |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Metekel zone Benishangul-Gumuz state | Government of Ethiopia vs OLA State-based | 40 40–50 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Wag Hamra zone Amhara state | Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based, 4 sources | 38 36–40 |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Gurage zone Central Ethiopia regional state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 16 civilian | 16 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Bahir Dar special zone Amhara state | Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based | 6 |
| 30 Jan 2026 | South Welo zone Amhara state | Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based, 2 sources | 5 4–23 |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Arsi zone Oromiya state | Government of Ethiopia vs Civilians One-sided, 5 civilian | 5 0–5 |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Northwestern zone Tigray state | Government of Ethiopia vs TPLF State-based, 4 sources | 5 |
| 30 Jan 2026 | South Welo zone Amhara state | Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based, 2 sources | 4 5–23 |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Northwestern zone Tigray state | Government of Ethiopia vs TPLF State-based | 4 |
Parties
| Party | Events |
|---|---|
| Government of Ethiopia | 79 |
| Fano | 37 |
| TPLF | 20 |
| Unidentified armed group | 19 |
| OLA | 2 |
| Anuak | 1 |
Type of violence
| Category | Events |
|---|---|
| State-based | 58 |
| Non-state | 10 |
| One-sided | 23 |
All months
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. Counts use the "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.