Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Sokoto state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Sokoto statePopulation about 4,998,090 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 9 eventsP of organized violence in Sokoto state, Nigeria in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 35P. The low estimate is 29 and the high estimate is 35P. The count for August 2026 was 14 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 96 eventsP in Sokoto state, Nigeria. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 525P. The low estimate is 464 and the high estimate is 559P. UCDP counts 265P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 30 regions of Nigeria with a page, Sokoto state has the 5th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Sokoto state holds 7 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 18 events in Sokoto state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 96P, which is up 433 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Nigeria as a whole went from 714 to 1,430P, which is up 100 percent. Events of one-sided violence are 69 percentP of the events in Sokoto state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Nigeria, the share is 25 percentP.

Table 1. Sokoto state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events91496
Estimated deaths, best estimate3591525
Low estimate of deaths2991464
High estimate of deaths3594559
Deaths of civilians3145265

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 9 events in Sokoto state, Nigeria, in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 14 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Sokoto state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Sokoto state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 96 events with 525 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Sokoto state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP54P227P
Government of Nigeria10P178P
Group named for a person (name not shown)27P104P
IS15P194P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Sokoto state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Sokoto state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bodinga lga2P8P
Goronyo lga6P20P
Gudu lga2P3P
Isa lga10P33P
Kebbe lga6P62P
Rabah lga9P43P
Sabon Birni lga25P103P
Tangaza lga14P174P
Tureta lga6P46P
Wurno lga7P13P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Sokoto state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict25P26%
Non-state conflict5P5%
One-sided violence against civilians66P69%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Sokoto state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20269P35PCandidate Events
August 202614P91PCandidate Events
July 202619P59PCandidate Events
June 202615P62PCandidate Events
May 20264P29PCandidate Events
April 202610P29PCandidate Events
March 20267P15PCandidate Events
February 20264P11PCandidate Events
January 20267P39PCandidate Events
December 20254145GED
November 202527GED
October 202513GED
September 202534GED
August 202545GED
July 202523GED
June 2025213GED
May 2025219GED
April 2025418GED
January 202512GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Nigeria: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Sokoto state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/nigeria/sokoto-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Sokoto state, Nigeria in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 9 eventsP of organized violence in Sokoto state, Nigeria in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 14 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Sokoto state, Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 525P. The low estimate is 464 and the high estimate is 559P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.