Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

ConflictStats

Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

Search

Adamawa state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Adamawa statePopulation about 4,248,436 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Adamawa state, Nigeria in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 35P. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 31 eventsP in Adamawa state, Nigeria. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 214P. The low estimate is 214 and the high estimate is 266P. UCDP counts 113P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 30 regions of Nigeria with a page, Adamawa state has the 12th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Adamawa state holds 2 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 16 events in Adamawa state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 31P, which is up 94 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Nigeria as a whole went from 714 to 1,430P, which is up 100 percent. Events of one-sided violence are 42 percentP of the events in Adamawa state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Nigeria, the share is 25 percentP.

Table 1. Adamawa state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events5231
Estimated deaths, best estimate3529214
Low estimate of deaths3529214
High estimate of deaths3529266
Deaths of civilians167113

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Adamawa state, Nigeria on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Adamawa state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Adamawa state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 31 events with 214 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Adamawa state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Bwatiye5P26P
Government of Nigeria13P59P
IS24P184P
JAS2P28P
Tsobo5P26P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Adamawa state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Adamawa state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Gombi lga4P62P
Hong lga12P72P
Lamurde lga6P26P
Madagali lga5P26P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Adamawa state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict12P39%
Non-state conflict6P19%
One-sided violence against civilians13P42%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Adamawa state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20265P35PCandidate Events
August 20262P29PCandidate Events
July 20261P0PCandidate Events
June 20261P1PCandidate Events
May 20265P12PCandidate Events
April 20265P60PCandidate Events
March 20262P7PCandidate Events
February 20263P29PCandidate Events
January 20262P27PCandidate Events
December 2025514GED
September 2025348GED
July 202522GED
June 202511GED
May 2025318GED
April 2025415GED
March 202523GED
October 202415GED
August 2024211GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Nigeria: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Adamawa state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/nigeria/adamawa-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Embed this card on your site

Copy this code into your page. The card shows the figures above with their source. A line under the card links to this page.

How embedding works. It is free. Keep the link in the card and the link line under it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Adamawa state, Nigeria in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Adamawa state, Nigeria in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 2 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Adamawa state, Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 214P. The low estimate is 214 and the high estimate is 266P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.