Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Zamfara state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Zamfara statePopulation about 5,482,423 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 17 eventsP of organized violence in Zamfara state, Nigeria in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 67P. The low estimate is 64 and the high estimate is 67P. The count for August 2026 was 19 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 112 eventsP in Zamfara state, Nigeria. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 806P. The low estimate is 758 and the high estimate is 1,185P. UCDP counts 273P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 30 regions of Nigeria with a page, Zamfara state has the 4th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Zamfara state holds 8 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 10 events in Zamfara state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 112P, which is up 1020 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Nigeria as a whole went from 714 to 1,430P, which is up 100 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 7 percentP of the events in Zamfara state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Nigeria, the share is 34 percentP.

Table 1. Zamfara state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1719112
Estimated deaths, best estimate67151806
Low estimate of deaths64149758
High estimate of deaths671581,185
Deaths of civilians4123273

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Zamfara state, Nigeria on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Zamfara state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Zamfara state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 112 events with 806 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Zamfara state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP102P673P
Government of Nigeria8P124P
Group named for a person (name not shown)10P139P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Zamfara state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Zamfara state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Anka lga15P145P
Bukkuyum lga8P48P
Gummi lga5P63P
Gusau lga6P23P
Maradun lga9P39P
Maru lga7P74P
Shinkafi lga8P35P
Talata Mafara lga9P55P
Tsafe lga16P125P
Zurmi lga6P82P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Zamfara state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict63P56%
Non-state conflict8P7%
One-sided violence against civilians41P37%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Zamfara state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202617P67PCandidate Events
August 202619P151PCandidate Events
July 20265P74PCandidate Events
June 202618P92PCandidate Events
May 202616P141PCandidate Events
April 202619P162PCandidate Events
March 20265P7PCandidate Events
February 20268P67PCandidate Events
January 20265P45PCandidate Events
July 2025235GED
June 202511GED
May 202514GED
April 2025310GED
March 202511GED
January 202525GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Nigeria: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Zamfara state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/nigeria/zamfara-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Zamfara state, Nigeria in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 17 eventsP of organized violence in Zamfara state, Nigeria in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 19 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Zamfara state, Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 806P. The low estimate is 758 and the high estimate is 1,185P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.