Countries › Nigeria › Kebbi state
Kebbi state, Nigeria: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Kebbi state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 4,440,050 (Wikidata).
Kebbi state, Nigeria logged 12 events and 56 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, -40% against the preceding 90 days.
The 12-month total for Kebbi state stands at 39 events and 220 estimated deaths. That is +875% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 209 and 253. 51% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 135. Relative to population, that is 8.8 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (13 events, 42 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025
Events in Kebbi state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Kebbi state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Bagudo lga | 7 | 17 |
| Wasagu/Danko lga | 6 | 18 |
| Shanga lga | 4 | 68 |
| Arewa-Dandi lga | 4 | 57 |
| Argungu lga | 2 | 11 |
| Birnin-Kebbi lga | 2 | 3 |
| Dandi lga | 2 | 1 |
| Bunza lga | 2 | 0 |
| Ngaski lga | 1 | 21 |
| Maiyama lga | 1 | 6 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | Arewa-Dandi lga Kebbi state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 20 civilian, 4 sources | 20 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Argungu lga Kebbi state | Farmers (Nigeria) vs Herders (Nigeria) Non-state, 4 sources | 8 |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Wasagu/Danko lga Kebbi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 2 civilian | 7 |
| 12 Jul 2026 | Wasagu/Danko lga Kebbi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 5 |
| 4 Jun 2026 | Bagudo lga Kebbi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 4 sources | 3 |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Wasagu/Danko lga Kebbi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 2 sources | 2 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Arewa-Dandi lga Kebbi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 3 sources | 2 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | Kebbi state | IS vs JNIM Non-state, 3 sources | 2 2–24 |
| 4 Jun 2026 | Wasagu/Danko lga Kebbi state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 4 Jun 2026 | Bagudo lga Kebbi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state, 2 sources | 2 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 30 | 110 |
| IS | 16 | 92 |
| Government of Nigeria | 12 | 31 |
| Mahmuda | 2 | 46 |
| Farmers (Nigeria) | 2 | 10 |
| Herders (Nigeria) | 2 | 10 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 13 | 42 |
| Government of Nigeria - IS | 10 | 28 |
| IS - Civilians | 4 | 61 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 4 | 26 |
| Farmers (Nigeria) - Herders (Nigeria) | 2 | 10 |
| IS - JNIM | 2 | 3 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 20 | 51% |
| Non-state conflict | 9 | 23% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 10 | 26% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Kebbi state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 39 organized-violence events in Kebbi state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 220 deaths (range 209 to 253).
Is violence in Kebbi state increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (12) were down -40% from the preceding 90 days (20).
Who are the main armed actors in Kebbi state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (30 events), IS (16 events), Government of Nigeria (12 events), Mahmuda (2 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Kebbi state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Kebbi state, 51% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Nov 2024
Other regions of Nigeria
Borno state · Plateau state · Zamfara state · Sokoto state · Niger state · Benue state · Kaduna state · Katsina state · Kwara state · Kogi state · Yobe state · Oyo state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.