Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Kebbi state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Kebbi statePopulation about 4,440,050 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Kebbi state, Nigeria in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 23P. The low estimate is 22 and the high estimate is 23P. The count for August 2026 was 3 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 43 eventsP in Kebbi state, Nigeria. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 263P. The low estimate is 250 and the high estimate is 298P. UCDP counts 138P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 30 regions of Nigeria with a page, Kebbi state has the 8th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Kebbi state holds 3 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 6 events in Kebbi state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 43P, which is up 617 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Nigeria as a whole went from 714 to 1,430P, which is up 100 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 28 percentP of the events in Kebbi state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Nigeria, the share is 34 percentP.

Table 1. Kebbi state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events5343
Estimated deaths, best estimate2331263
Low estimate of deaths2230250
High estimate of deaths2334298
Deaths of civilians23138

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Kebbi state, Nigeria on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Kebbi state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Kebbi state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 43 events with 263 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Kebbi state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP21P98P
Farmers (Nigeria)2P10P
Fulani2P18P
Government of Nigeria11P29P
Group named for a person (name not shown)2P46P
Hausa1P3P
Herders (Nigeria)2P10P
IS15P90P
JNIM2P3P
Kambari1P15P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Kebbi state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Kebbi state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Arewa-Dandi lga4P59P
Argungu lga2P11P
Bagudo lga9P33P
Birnin-Kebbi lga2P3P
Bunza lga2P0P
Maiyama lga2P6P
Ngaski lga121
Sakaba lga1P30P
Shanga lga4P68P
Wasagu/Danko lga6P11P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Kebbi state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict19P44%
Non-state conflict12P28%
One-sided violence against civilians12P28%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Kebbi state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20265P23PCandidate Events
August 20263P31PCandidate Events
July 20261P5PCandidate Events
June 20267P39PCandidate Events
May 20262P3PCandidate Events
April 20266P61PCandidate Events
March 20267P21PCandidate Events
February 20267P49PCandidate Events
January 20262P5PCandidate Events
December 2025121GED
November 202513GED
October 202512GED
September 202511GED
August 202511GED
July 202516GED
March 2025111GED
February 202512GED
November 202416GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Kebbi state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/nigeria/kebbi-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Kebbi state, Nigeria in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Kebbi state, Nigeria in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 3 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Kebbi state, Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 263P. The low estimate is 250 and the high estimate is 298P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.