Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Yobe state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Yobe statePopulation about 3,649,600 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Yobe state, Nigeria in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in this event is 1P. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 39 eventsP in Yobe state, Nigeria. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 274P. The low estimate is 267 and the high estimate is 304P. UCDP counts 7P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 30 regions of Nigeria with a page, Yobe state has the 10th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Yobe state holds 3 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 39 events in Yobe state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 39P, which is level. Over the same periods, the count for Nigeria as a whole went from 714 to 1,430P, which is up 100 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 79 percentP of the events in Yobe state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Nigeria, the share is 42 percentP.

Table 1. Yobe state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1039
Estimated deaths, best estimate10274
Low estimate of deaths10267
High estimate of deaths10304
Deaths of civilians007

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Yobe state, Nigeria on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Yobe state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Yobe state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 39 events with 274 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Yobe state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP2P2P
Farmers (Nigeria)1P1P
Government of Nigeria30P264P
Herders (Nigeria)1P1P
IS36P271P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Yobe state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Yobe state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bade lga1P1P
Bursari lga1P2P
Damaturu lga1P33P
Geidam lga3P7P
Gujba lga20P155P
Tarmuwa lga4P6P
Yunusari lga6P16P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Yobe state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict31P79%
Non-state conflict2P5%
One-sided violence against civilians6P15%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Yobe state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20261P1PCandidate Events
July 20262P6PCandidate Events
June 20262P5PCandidate Events
May 20265P79PCandidate Events
April 20269P54PCandidate Events
March 20263P28PCandidate Events
February 20266P59PCandidate Events
January 20265P21PCandidate Events
December 202511GED
November 202533GED
October 2025217GED
September 2025513GED
August 202523GED
July 202548GED
June 202546GED
May 2025514GED
April 202528GED
March 2025617GED
February 202510GED
November 2024528GED
October 2024519GED
September 20242107GED
August 2024216GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Nigeria: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Yobe state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/nigeria/yobe-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Yobe state, Nigeria in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Yobe state, Nigeria in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Yobe state, Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 274P. The low estimate is 267 and the high estimate is 304P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.