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Kayin state, Myanmar: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Kayin state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 1,490,968 (Wikidata).
Kayin state, Myanmar logged 1 events and 1 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, -80% against the preceding 90 days.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 12 events and 18 estimated deaths were recorded in Kayin state. That is -71% on the previous 12 months. 83% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 15. Relative to population, that is 8.0 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Myanmar (Burma) - KNU (7 events, 12 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025
Events in Kayin state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Kayin state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Kawkareik district | 6 | 7 |
| Hpapun district | 3 | 8 |
| Hpa-an district | 2 | 2 |
| Myawaddy district | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | Hpa-an district Kayin state | Government of Myanmar vs SCEF State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Myanmar | 12 | 18 |
| KNU | 7 | 12 |
| SCEF | 3 | 4 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Myanmar (Burma) - KNU | 7 | 12 |
| Government of Myanmar (Burma) - SCEF | 3 | 4 |
| Government of Myanmar (Burma) - Civilians | 2 | 2 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 10 | 83% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 2 | 17% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Kayin state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 12 organized-violence events in Kayin state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 18 deaths.
Is violence in Kayin state increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (1) were down -80% from the preceding 90 days (5).
Who are the main armed actors in Kayin state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Myanmar (12 events), KNU (7 events), SCEF (3 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Kayin state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Kayin state, 83% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024
Other regions of Myanmar
Sagaing region · Magway region · Bago region · Rakhine state · Chin state · Mandalay region · Mon state · Kachin state · Tanintharyi region · Kayah state · Shan state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.