Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Shan state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Shan statePopulation about 6,517,377 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 20.

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Shan state, Myanmar in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in this event is 1P. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 20 eventsP in Shan state, Myanmar. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 67P. UCDP counts 67P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 13 regions of Myanmar with a page, Shan state has the 10th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Shan state holds 3 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 72 events in Shan state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 20P, which is down 72 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Myanmar as a whole went from 797 to 583P, which is down 27 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 95 percentP of the events in Shan state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Myanmar, the share is 86 percentP.

Table 1. Shan state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1120
Estimated deaths, best estimate1167
Low estimate of deaths1167
High estimate of deaths1167
Deaths of civilians1167

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Shan state, Myanmar on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Shan state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Shan state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 20 events with 67 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Shan state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Myanmar (Burma)20P67P
KNPP1P1P
PSLF17P62P
SCEF1P1P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Shan state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Shan state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Kyaukme district13P49P
Pa Laung Self-Administered Zone413
Taunggyi district3P5P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Shan state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict19P95%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians15%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Shan state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20261P1PCandidate Events
August 20261P1PCandidate Events
July 20261P3PCandidate Events
February 20261P1PCandidate Events
December 2025212GED
November 202513GED
October 20251346GED
September 202537GED
August 2025720GED
July 2025819GED
June 2025218GED
May 202558GED
April 202523GED
March 2025221GED
February 2025917GED
January 2025627GED
December 202458GED
November 20241243GED
October 20241133GED
September 2024944GED
August 20241235GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Myanmar: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Shan state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/myanmar/shan-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Shan state, Myanmar in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Shan state, Myanmar in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Shan state, Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 67P. The low estimate is 67 and the high estimate is 67P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.