Bulletin 2026-08UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.8Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Libya: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 7,458,555 (World Bank, 2025)

UCDP recorded 2 eventsP of organized violence in Libya in August 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 6P. UCDP recorded no eventsP in July 2026.

In the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026, UCDP recorded 11 eventsP in Libya. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 31P. UCDP counts 4P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Table 1. Libya: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureAugust 2026PJuly 2026P12 months to 31 Aug 2026P
Events2011
Estimated deaths, best estimate6031
Low estimate of deaths6031
High estimate of deaths6031
Deaths of civilians304

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.8, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Libya on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Libya by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Libya by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Libya, 3 Jun 2026 to 31 Aug 2026. The map shows 3 events with 9 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page.

Table 2. Regions of Libya with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Zawiyah district6P22P3 Aug 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 1 region of Libya has a page. 3 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Libya: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP11P31P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Libya: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP10P30P
Actor not identified by UCDP - Civilians1P1P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Libya: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict5P45%
Non-state conflict5P45%
One-sided violence against civilians1P9%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Libya: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
20161842,349GED
2017801,096GED
2018123670GED
20191861,786GED
2020131690GED
2021712GED
2022713GED
202312GED
202412GED
2026, to 31 Aug 202611P31PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. The reports of the last 24 months are in search engines.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Libya, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
August 20262P6PCandidate Events
June 20261P3PCandidate Events
May 20264P15PCandidate Events
March 20261P2PCandidate Events
February 20261P1PCandidate Events
January 20262P4PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Other countries of the UCDP region Africa

Comparisons

Refugees and asylum seekers

Not UCDP data. Source: UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database, CC BY 4.0, figures for the end of 2025.

Table 8. People from Libya who are in other countries, end of 2025 (UNHCR)
GroupPeople
Refugees17,161
Asylum seekers3,802

These figures come from UNHCR. They are not a part of the UCDP counts of events and deaths. UNHCR has not endorsed this site. Read the UNHCR terms of use for datasets.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Libya: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/libya/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.8. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 1.5 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Libya in August 2026?

UCDP recorded 2 eventsP of organized violence in Libya in August 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in July 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Libya in the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026, the best estimate is 31P. The low estimate is 31 and the high estimate is 31P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Libya as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Aug 2024 to 31 Aug 2026. It has 11 rows. Download the events (CSV)