Papua New Guinea: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP
Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a country page at 25 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 16.
Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.
UCDP recorded 4 eventsP of organized violence in Papua New Guinea in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 12P. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.
In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 16 eventsP in Papua New Guinea. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 60P. The low estimate is 56 and the high estimate is 60P. UCDP counts 24P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.
Among the 49 countries with a page, Papua New Guinea has the 43rd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Asia, Papua New Guinea has the 9th highest count of events of the 9 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 3 events in Papua New Guinea. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 16P, which is up 433 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent.
| Figure | September 2026P | August 2026P | 12 months to 30 Sep 2026P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Events | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| Estimated deaths, best estimate | 12 | 1 | 60 |
| Low estimate of deaths | 12 | 1 | 56 |
| High estimate of deaths | 12 | 1 | 60 |
| Deaths of civilians | 11 | 1 | 24 |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.
Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .
This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.
The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.
Since the last update
ConflictStats recorded this on .
- UCDP recorded 12 estimated deaths in Papua New Guinea in September 2026 (preliminary). The estimate for August 2026 was 1 (preliminary).
24 months
Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.
Regions
A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.
| Region | Events | Estimated deaths | Last event |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enga province | 5P | 16P | 23 Sep 2026 |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 1 region of Papua New Guinea has a page. 8 more regions have events and no page.
Actors, as UCDP names them
Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.
| Name, as UCDP writes it | Events | Estimated deaths in these events |
|---|---|---|
| Actor not identified by UCDP | 4P | 21P |
| Baiyer Kaiagon | 1P | 1P |
| BRA | 1P | 1P |
| Government of Papua New Guinea | 6P | 15P |
| I don't care | 1P | 5P |
| Kombolga | 1P | 1P |
| Minimbi Papike | 1P | 1P |
| Mirupa | 1P | 13P |
| Waipilini | 2P | 2P |
| Wambea | 1P | 13P |
| Yakuman tribe | 1 | 3 |
| Yambalikin | 1P | 1P |
| Yangukim tribe | 1 | 3 |
An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.
| Dyad, as UCDP writes it | Events | Estimated deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP | 4P | 21P |
| Government of Papua New Guinea - BRA | 1P | 1P |
| Government of Papua New Guinea - Civilians | 5P | 14P |
| I don't care - Civilians | 1P | 5P |
| Kombolga - Minimbi Papike | 1P | 1P |
| Mirupa - Wambea | 1P | 13P |
| Waipilini - Baiyer Kaiagon | 1P | 1P |
| Yakuman tribe - Yangukim tribe | 1 | 3 |
| Yambalikin - Waipilini | 1P | 1P |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.
Type of violence
| Type of violence | Events | Share of events |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 1P | 6% |
| Non-state conflict | 9P | 56% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 6P | 38% |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.
State-based conflict
A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.
Non-state conflict
The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.
One-sided violence
The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.
Years
Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.
| Year | Events | Estimated deaths | Dataset |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 6 | 65 | GED |
| 2002 | 3 | 7 | GED |
| 2012 | 4 | 57 | GED |
| 2019 | 3 | 30 | GED |
| 2021 | 5 | 56 | GED |
| 2022 | 16 | 109 | GED |
| 2023 | 5 | 67 | GED |
| 2024 | 8 | 135 | GED |
| 2025 | 4 | 31 | GED |
| 2026, to 30 Sep 2026 | 15P | 57P | Candidate Events |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.
Monthly reports
One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.
| Month | Events | Estimated deaths | Dataset |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 4P | 12P | Candidate Events |
| August 2026 | 1P | 1P | Candidate Events |
| July 2026 | 1P | 1P | Candidate Events |
| June 2026 | 2P | 4P | Candidate Events |
| May 2026 | 1P | 4P | Candidate Events |
| April 2026 | 2P | 14P | Candidate Events |
| March 2026 | 1P | 1P | Candidate Events |
| February 2026 | 1P | 5P | Candidate Events |
| January 2026 | 2P | 15P | Candidate Events |
| October 2025 | 1 | 3 | GED |
| August 2025 | 3 | 28 | GED |
| September 2024 | 3 | 36 | GED |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.
Related pages
Other countries of the UCDP region Asia
Comparisons
Refugees and asylum seekers
Not UCDP data. Source: UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database, CC BY 4.0, figures for the end of 2025.
| Group | People |
|---|---|
| Refugees | 644 |
| Asylum seekers | 1,227 |
These figures come from UNHCR. They are not a part of the UCDP counts of events and deaths. UNHCR has not endorsed this site. Read the UNHCR terms of use for datasets.
Official channels
- UCDP Conflict Encyclopedia: Papua New GuineaThe page of this country in the UCDP Conflict Encyclopedia.
- UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
- UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.
- World Bank: Population, total, PGThe population figure that the rates use.
- US Department of State: travel.state.govThe site where the Department of State publishes its travel advisories. ConflictStats gives no travel advice.
These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .
Cite and download
ConflictStats. Papua New Guinea: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/papua-new-guinea/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .
The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.
- Events of Papua New Guinea (CSV)One row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026: 22 rows.
- Figures of this page (JSON)The counts by period, by month, by region and by year.
- Monthly reports (RSS)The 12 newest monthly reports.
The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 1.5 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.
Questions
How many events did UCDP record in Papua New Guinea in September 2026?
UCDP recorded 4 eventsP of organized violence in Papua New Guinea in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.
How does UCDP count deaths?
UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Papua New Guinea in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 60P. The low estimate is 56 and the high estimate is 60P.
Are the figures of the latest months final?
No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.
Where are the events of Papua New Guinea as a CSV file?
The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 22 rows. Download the events (CSV)