Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Bangladesh: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 175,686,899 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 7 eventsP of organized violence in Bangladesh in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 7P. The count for August 2026 was 4 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 75 eventsP in Bangladesh. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 87P. UCDP counts 9P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Bangladesh has the 29th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Asia, Bangladesh has the 5th highest count of events of the 9 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 13 events in Bangladesh. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 75P, which is up 477 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 84 percentP of the events in Bangladesh in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 24 percentP.

Table 1. Bangladesh: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events7475
Estimated deaths, best estimate7587
Low estimate of deaths7587
High estimate of deaths7587
Deaths of civilians029

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Bangladesh on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Bangladesh by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Bangladesh by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Bangladesh, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 17 events with 20 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Bangladesh with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Chittagong division27P32P28 Sep 2026
Dhaka division14P15P8 Sep 2026
Khulna division12P13P9 Sep 2026
Rajshahi division11P12P7 Sep 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 4 regions of Bangladesh have a page. 4 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Bangladesh: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP44P46P
ARA1P2P
ARNO2P2P
ARSA3P3P
Government of Bangladesh5P7P
Government of India1P1P
Government of Myanmar (Burma)2P4P
Group named for a person (name not shown)2P2P
PCJSS3P5P
RSO2P3P
Supporters of Awami League9P10P
Supporters of BNP16P21P
Supporters of Islami Chhatra Shibir1P1P
Supporters of Jamaat-e-Islami7P11P
UPDF4P6P
UPDF-Democratic1P1P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Bangladesh: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP40P42P
Actor not identified by UCDP - Civilians4P4P
ARA - RSO1P2P
ARNO - ARSA2P2P
ARSA - RSO1P1P
Government of Bangladesh - Civilians1P1P
Government of Bangladesh - Government of Myanmar (Burma)2P4P
Government of Bangladesh - PCJSS1P1P
Government of Bangladesh - UPDF1P1P
Government of India - Civilians1P1P
Group named for a person (name not shown) - Group named for a person (name not shown)1P1P
PCJSS - UPDF2P4P
Supporters of Awami League - Supporters of BNP8P9P
Supporters of Awami League - Supporters of Jamaat-e-Islami1P1P
Supporters of BNP - Civilians1P1P
Supporters of BNP - Supporters of Islami Chhatra Shibir1P1P
Supporters of BNP - Supporters of Jamaat-e-Islami6P10P
UPDF - UPDF-Democratic1P1P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Bangladesh: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict5P7%
Non-state conflict63P84%
One-sided violence against civilians7P9%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Bangladesh: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
20172348GED
20182028GED
201933GED
202055GED
202132GED
2022913GED
20231112GED
202467404GED
20251017GED
2026, to 30 Sep 202675P87PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Bangladesh, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20267P7PCandidate Events
August 20264P5PCandidate Events
July 20266P8PCandidate Events
June 202612P15PCandidate Events
May 20266P6PCandidate Events
April 202612P12PCandidate Events
March 20269P11PCandidate Events
February 20264P4PCandidate Events
January 202615P19PCandidate Events
September 202511GED
May 202533GED
April 202524GED
March 202523GED
February 202512GED
January 202514GED
November 202422GED
October 202413GED
September 202434GED
August 202435353GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Refugees and asylum seekers

Not UCDP data. Source: UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database, CC BY 4.0, figures for the end of 2025.

Table 8. People from Bangladesh who are in other countries, end of 2025 (UNHCR)
GroupPeople
Refugees31,862
Asylum seekers92,441

These figures come from UNHCR. They are not a part of the UCDP counts of events and deaths. UNHCR has not endorsed this site. Read the UNHCR terms of use for datasets.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Bangladesh: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/bangladesh/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 0.4 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Bangladesh in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 7 eventsP of organized violence in Bangladesh in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 4 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Bangladesh in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 87P. The low estimate is 87 and the high estimate is 87P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Bangladesh as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 91 rows. Download the events (CSV)