ConflictStats

Countries › Thailand

Thailand conflict statistics

Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published. Population 71,619,863 (World Bank, 2025).

4events, last 30 days
15events, last 90 days▲ +36% vs prior 90 days
50events, last 12 months0.7 per million people
72est. deaths, last 12 monthsrange 53–96, 14 civilians

Thailand saw 15 recorded events and 19 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. That is +36% on the preceding 90-day period.

Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 50 events and 72 estimated deaths were recorded in Thailand. That is roughly the same as the 12 months before. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 53 and 96. 96% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 14. Relative to population, that is 0.7 events per million people.

The most affected areas over the last 90 days were Pattani province (8), Narathiwat province (4), Yala province (3). Together they hold 100% of the period's events.

The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Thailand - Patani insurgents (29 events, 38 estimated deaths).

Displacement from Thailand

327refugees abroad, end 2025
2,656asylum seekers abroad

Main host countries: Australia (1,376), Israel (677), Rep. of Korea (232), United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland (155), United States of America (93). Source: UNHCR Refugee Data Finder, 2025 figures.

Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025

Events in Thailand, last 90 days

2026-07-23: Patani insurgents vs Civilians (0 deaths)2026-07-22: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (5 deaths)2026-07-15: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-07-13: Patani insurgents vs Civilians (0 deaths)2026-06-28: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-06-26: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-06-04: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (2 deaths)2026-06-04: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-06-01: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-05-25: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (2 deaths)2026-05-22: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-05-11: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-05-04: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-05-04: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)2026-05-04: Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents (1 deaths)
Recorded organized-violence events in Thailand, 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.

Monthly trend

01122Aug 2024: 2 events, 2 deaths24-08Sep 2024: 0 events, 0 deathsOct 2024: 1 events, 1 deathsNov 2024: 2 events, 2 deaths24-11Dec 2024: 1 events, 1 deathsJan 2025: 3 events, 7 deathsFeb 2025: 3 events, 4 deaths25-02Mar 2025: 3 events, 6 deathsApr 2025: 6 events, 7 deathsMay 2025: 9 events, 12 deaths25-05Jun 2025: 3 events, 3 deathsJul 2025: 22 events, 44 deathsAug 2025: 0 events, 0 deaths25-08Sep 2025: 1 events, 1 deathsOct 2025: 1 events, 2 deathsNov 2025: 0 events, 0 deaths25-11Dec 2025: 21 events, 36 deathsJan 2026: 1 events, 1 deathsFeb 2026: 0 events, 0 deaths26-02Mar 2026: 7 events, 8 deathsApr 2026: 4 events, 5 deathsMay 2026: 6 events, 7 deaths26-05Jun 2026: 5 events, 6 deathsJul 2026: 4 events, 6 deaths
Recorded events per month in Thailand, last 24 months
02244Aug 2024: 2 events, 2 deaths24-08Sep 2024: 0 events, 0 deathsOct 2024: 1 events, 1 deathsNov 2024: 2 events, 2 deaths24-11Dec 2024: 1 events, 1 deathsJan 2025: 3 events, 7 deathsFeb 2025: 3 events, 4 deaths25-02Mar 2025: 3 events, 6 deathsApr 2025: 6 events, 7 deathsMay 2025: 9 events, 12 deaths25-05Jun 2025: 3 events, 3 deathsJul 2025: 22 events, 44 deathsAug 2025: 0 events, 0 deaths25-08Sep 2025: 1 events, 1 deathsOct 2025: 1 events, 2 deathsNov 2025: 0 events, 0 deaths25-11Dec 2025: 21 events, 36 deathsJan 2026: 1 events, 1 deathsFeb 2026: 0 events, 0 deaths26-02Mar 2026: 7 events, 8 deathsApr 2026: 4 events, 5 deathsMay 2026: 6 events, 7 deaths26-05Jun 2026: 5 events, 6 deathsJul 2026: 4 events, 6 deaths
Estimated deaths per month in Thailand, last 24 months

Most affected regions

RegionEvents, 90dChangeEvents, 12mDeaths, 12mLast event
Pattani province80%172128 Jun 2026
Narathiwat province4+300%61122 Jul 2026
Yala province3+50%7523 Jul 2026
Surin province05616 Dec 2025

4 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.

Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days

DateWherePartiesEst. deaths
22 Jul 2026Rangae district
Narathiwat province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based, 8 sources
5
4 Jun 2026Khok Pho district
Pattani province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based
2
25 May 2026Yarang district
Pattani province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based, 2 civilian, 4 sources
2
15 Jul 2026Bannang Sata district
Yala province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based
1
0–1
28 Jun 2026Yarang district
Pattani province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based
1
26 Jun 2026Yarang district
Pattani province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based
1
0–1
4 Jun 2026Sungai Padi district
Narathiwat province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based
1
0–1
1 Jun 2026Chanae district
Narathiwat province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based, 2 sources
1
22 May 2026Sai Buri district
Pattani province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based, 2 sources
1
11 May 2026Waeng district
Narathiwat province
Government of Thailand vs Patani insurgents
State-based
1
0–1

Most recorded parties, last 12 months

PartyEventsEst. deaths in those events
Government of Thailand4872
Patani insurgents3138
Government of Cambodia1934

Conflict pairings, last 12 months

Pairing (UCDP dyad)EventsEst. deaths
Government of Thailand - Patani insurgents2938
Government of Cambodia (Kampuchea) - Government of Thailand1934
Patani insurgents - Civilians20

Type of violence, last 12 months

CategoryEventsShare
State-based armed conflict4896%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians24%

Long-run view: events per year

YearEventsEst. deaths
20172750
20184061
20192760
20203347
20212841
20222636
20232531
20243139
202572122
2026 (to date)2733

Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.

Recent reports and news

Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)

Frequently asked questions

How many conflict events were recorded in Thailand in the last 12 months?

UCDP recorded 50 organized-violence events in Thailand between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 72 deaths (range 53 to 96).

Is violence in Thailand increasing or decreasing?

Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (15) were up +36% on the preceding 90 days (11).

Which regions of Thailand are most affected?

Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Pattani province (8), Narathiwat province (4), Yala province (3).

Who are the main armed actors in Thailand?

The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Thailand (48 events), Patani insurgents (31 events), Government of Cambodia (19 events).

What kind of violence is recorded in Thailand?

UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Thailand, 96% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.

Where does this data come from?

Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.

Compare: Thailand vs Philippines · Thailand vs Bangladesh · Thailand vs Papua New Guinea

Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024

Download:events CSV (24 months)aggregates JSONRSSDerived from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. Cite UCDP and link this page.

Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.