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Bayelsa state, Nigeria: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Bayelsa state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 2,277,961 (Wikidata).
Recorded violence in Bayelsa state, Nigeria eased over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 2 events compared with 3 in the prior quarter (-33%). Estimated deaths: 2.
The 12-month total for Bayelsa state stands at 6 events and 6 estimated deaths. That is +200% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 5 and 6. 100% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 1. Relative to population, that is 2.6 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (3 events, 3 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Apr 2026Feb 2026Dec 2025May 2025Apr 2025
Events in Bayelsa state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Bayelsa state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Southern Ijaw lga | 3 | 3 |
| Yenagoa lga | 2 | 2 |
| Ogbia lga | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | Yenagoa lga Bayelsa state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Southern Ijaw lga Bayelsa state | Black Axe vs SVC Non-state, 2 sources | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 6 | 6 |
| Black Axe | 2 | 2 |
| SVC | 2 | 2 |
| Deebam | 1 | 1 |
| Greenlanders | 1 | 1 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 3 | 3 |
| Black Axe - SVC | 2 | 2 |
| Deebam - Greenlanders | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 0 | 0% |
| Non-state conflict | 6 | 100% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 0 | 0% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Bayelsa state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 6 organized-violence events in Bayelsa state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 6 deaths (range 5 to 6).
Is violence in Bayelsa state increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (2) were down -33% from the preceding 90 days (3).
Who are the main armed actors in Bayelsa state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (6 events), Black Axe (2 events), SVC (2 events), Deebam (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Bayelsa state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Bayelsa state, 100% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Nigeria
Borno state · Plateau state · Zamfara state · Sokoto state · Niger state · Benue state · Kaduna state · Katsina state · Kwara state · Kebbi state · Kogi state · Yobe state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.