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Federal Capital territory, Nigeria: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Federal Capital territory, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 3,564,126 (Wikidata).
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 3 organized-violence events in Federal Capital territory, Nigeria, broadly level with 3 in the preceding 90 days (0%). Estimated deaths in the period: 4.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 6 events and 11 estimated deaths were recorded in Federal Capital territory. That is +100% on the previous 12 months. 50% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 1. Relative to population, that is 1.7 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (3 events, 4 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026Apr 2026Feb 2026Mar 2025
Events in Federal Capital territory, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Federal Capital territory, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Bwari Area council | 3 | 4 |
| Kuje Area council | 1 | 4 |
| Kwali area council | 1 | 2 |
| Abuja municipal area council | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2026 | Bwari Area council Federal Capital territory | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 2 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | Bwari Area council Federal Capital territory | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 1 |
| 4 Jun 2026 | Bwari Area council Federal Capital territory | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 6 | 8 |
| Farmers (Nigeria) | 2 | 6 |
| Herders (Nigeria) | 2 | 6 |
| Government of Nigeria | 1 | 1 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 3 | 4 |
| Farmers (Nigeria) - Herders (Nigeria) | 2 | 6 |
| Government of Nigeria - Civilians | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 2 | 33% |
| Non-state conflict | 3 | 50% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 1 | 17% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Federal Capital territory in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 6 organized-violence events in Federal Capital territory between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 11 deaths.
Is violence in Federal Capital territory increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (3) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (3).
Who are the main armed actors in Federal Capital territory?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (6 events), Farmers (Nigeria) (2 events), Herders (Nigeria) (2 events), Government of Nigeria (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Federal Capital territory?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Federal Capital territory, 50% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Nigeria
Borno state · Plateau state · Zamfara state · Sokoto state · Niger state · Benue state · Kaduna state · Katsina state · Kwara state · Kebbi state · Kogi state · Yobe state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.