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Kogi state, Nigeria: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Kogi state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 4,473,490 (Wikidata).
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 11 organized-violence events in Kogi state, Nigeria, up +120% from 5 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 19.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 16 events and 24 estimated deaths were recorded in Kogi state. That is +1500% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 24 and 46. 38% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 10. Relative to population, that is 3.6 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (8 events, 12 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Mar 2025
Events in Kogi state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Kogi state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Kabba Bunu lga | 3 | 6 |
| Yagba West lga | 3 | 5 |
| Dekina lga | 2 | 2 |
| Lokoja lga | 2 | 2 |
| Bassa lga | 2 | 2 |
| Ofu lga | 1 | 3 |
| Ibaji lga | 1 | 2 |
| Ijumu lga | 1 | 1 |
| Okene lga | 1 | 1 |
2,511 internally displaced people recorded in Kogi as of 31 Oct 2025. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | Ofu lga Kogi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 3 |
| 10 Jun 2026 | Kabba Bunu lga Kogi state | Forces of Ibrahim Batijo vs Civilians One-sided, 3 civilian, 6 sources | 3 |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Yagba West lga Kogi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 2 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Yagba West lga Kogi state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Kabba Bunu lga Kogi state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian, 2 sources | 2 |
| 5 May 2026 | Ibaji lga Kogi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state, 2 sources | 2 2–24 |
| 11 Jun 2026 | Dekina lga Kogi state | Black Axe vs Jurist Non-state, 2 sources | 1 |
| 8 Jun 2026 | Yagba West lga Kogi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 2 sources | 1 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Ijumu lga Kogi state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian, 2 sources | 1 |
| 10 May 2026 | Lokoja lga Kogi state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 3 sources | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 20 | 30 |
| Forces of Ibrahim Batijo | 1 | 3 |
| Black Axe | 1 | 1 |
| Jurist | 1 | 1 |
| Government of Nigeria | 1 | 1 |
| Fulani | 1 | 1 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 8 | 12 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 4 | 6 |
| Forces of Ibrahim Batijo - Civilians | 1 | 3 |
| Black Axe - Jurist | 1 | 1 |
| Government of Nigeria - Civilians | 1 | 1 |
| Fulani - Igala | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 4 | 25% |
| Non-state conflict | 6 | 38% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 6 | 38% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Kogi state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 16 organized-violence events in Kogi state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 24 deaths (range 24 to 46).
Is violence in Kogi state increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (11) were up +120% on the preceding 90 days (5).
Who are the main armed actors in Kogi state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (20 events), Forces of Ibrahim Batijo (1 events), Black Axe (1 events), Jurist (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Kogi state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Kogi state, 38% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Nigeria
Borno state · Plateau state · Zamfara state · Sokoto state · Niger state · Benue state · Kaduna state · Katsina state · Kwara state · Kebbi state · Yobe state · Oyo state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.