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Katsina state, Nigeria: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Katsina state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 7,831,319 (Wikidata).
Katsina state, Nigeria recorded 18 events and 137 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, roughly unchanged (-5%) from the preceding 90-day period.
The 12-month total for Katsina state stands at 46 events and 262 estimated deaths. That is +2200% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 254 and 491. 50% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 162. Relative to population, that is 5.9 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (27 events, 50 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Sep 2025Aug 2025Feb 2025Dec 2024
Events in Katsina state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Katsina state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Matazu lga | 7 | 30 |
| Malumfashi lga | 6 | 61 |
| Dutsin-Ma lga | 5 | 26 |
| Faskari lga | 4 | 26 |
| Musawa lga | 4 | 12 |
| Bakori lga | 3 | 53 |
| Kankara lga | 3 | 14 |
| Dandume lga | 3 | 4 |
| Jibiya lga | 2 | 7 |
| Funtua lga | 2 | 4 |
206,071 internally displaced people recorded in Katsina as of 31 Oct 2025. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2026 | Bakori lga Katsina state | Government of Nigeria vs Forces of Abasu Aiki State-based, 5 sources | 41 41–61 |
| 3 May 2026 | Kankia lga Katsina state | Forces of Muhammadu vs Civilians One-sided, 17 civilian, 4 sources | 17 11–17 |
| 29 May 2026 | Dutsin-Ma lga Katsina state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 16 civilian | 16 |
| 10 May 2026 | Matazu lga Katsina state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 12 civilian, 3 sources | 12 |
| 17 May 2026 | Bakori lga Katsina state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 10 civilian, 3 sources | 11 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Matazu lga Katsina state | Forces of Muhammadu vs Civilians One-sided, 7 civilian, 2 sources | 7 |
| 5 May 2026 | Musawa lga Katsina state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 7 civilian | 7 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Malumfashi lga Katsina state | Forces of Barbaru vs Civilians One-sided, 6 civilian | 6 |
| 13 Jun 2026 | Jibiya lga Katsina state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 6 |
| 9 May 2026 | Dutsin-Ma lga Katsina state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 2 sources | 3 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 65 | 166 |
| Forces of Barbaru | 3 | 58 |
| Forces of Muhammadu | 2 | 24 |
| Government of Nigeria | 1 | 41 |
| Forces of Abasu Aiki | 1 | 41 |
| Forces of Isiya Kwashen Garwa | 1 | 20 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 27 | 50 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 11 | 66 |
| Forces of Barbaru - Civilians | 3 | 58 |
| Forces of Muhammadu - Civilians | 2 | 24 |
| Government of Nigeria - Forces of Abasu Aiki | 1 | 41 |
| Forces of Isiya Kwashen Garwa - Civilians | 1 | 20 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 23 | 50% |
| Non-state conflict | 5 | 11% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 18 | 39% |
Recent reports mentioning Katsina state
- Nigeria: North-west Nigeria — Katsina State Flash Report 298 (23 August 2026) ReliefWeb, 16 Sep 2026
- IOM Nigeria Flash Report #296: Population Displacement - North-west Nigeria - Katsina State - Conflict/Attacks (11 September 2026) ReliefWeb, 12 Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Katsina state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 46 organized-violence events in Katsina state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 262 deaths (range 254 to 491).
Is violence in Katsina state increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (18) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (19).
Who are the main armed actors in Katsina state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (65 events), Forces of Barbaru (3 events), Forces of Muhammadu (2 events), Government of Nigeria (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Katsina state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Katsina state, 50% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Nigeria
Borno state · Plateau state · Zamfara state · Sokoto state · Niger state · Benue state · Kaduna state · Kwara state · Kebbi state · Kogi state · Yobe state · Oyo state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.