Countries › Nigeria › Osun state
Osun state, Nigeria: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Osun state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 4,705,589 (Wikidata).
Osun state, Nigeria saw 7 recorded events and 8 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. That is +600% on the preceding 90-day period.
The 12-month total for Osun state stands at 11 events and 12 estimated deaths. That is +120% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 12 and 18. 73% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 5. Relative to population, that is 2.3 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (6 events, 6 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Mar 2026Sep 2025Jun 2025Feb 2025
Events in Osun state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Osun state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Osogbo lga | 3 | 4 |
| Ede North lga | 1 | 2 |
| Oriade lga | 1 | 1 |
| Obokun lga | 1 | 1 |
| Irepodun lga | 1 | 1 |
| Ife North lga | 1 | 0 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | Osogbo lga Osun state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state, 2 sources | 2 |
| 27 May 2026 | Ede North lga Osun state | Black Axe vs Buccaneers Non-state | 2 |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Osogbo lga Osun state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Oriade lga Osun state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Obokun lga Osun state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state, 2 sources | 1 |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Irepodun lga Osun state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state, 1 civilian, 3 sources | 1 |
| 9 Jun 2026 | Osun state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state, 2 sources | 0 0–2 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 12 | 12 |
| Government of Nigeria | 3 | 2 |
| Black Axe | 2 | 4 |
| Buccaneers | 1 | 2 |
| Eyie | 1 | 2 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 6 | 6 |
| Government of Nigeria - Civilians | 3 | 2 |
| Black Axe - Buccaneers | 1 | 2 |
| Black Axe - Eyie | 1 | 2 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 0 | 0% |
| Non-state conflict | 8 | 73% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 3 | 27% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Osun state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 11 organized-violence events in Osun state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 12 deaths (range 12 to 18).
Is violence in Osun state increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (7) were up +600% on the preceding 90 days (1).
Who are the main armed actors in Osun state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (12 events), Government of Nigeria (3 events), Black Axe (2 events), Buccaneers (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Osun state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Osun state, 73% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Nigeria
Borno state · Plateau state · Zamfara state · Sokoto state · Niger state · Benue state · Kaduna state · Katsina state · Kwara state · Kebbi state · Kogi state · Yobe state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.