Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Niger state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Niger statePopulation about 5,556,247 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 6 eventsP of organized violence in Niger state, Nigeria in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 18P. The low estimate is 16 and the high estimate is 18P. The count for August 2026 was 17 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 87 eventsP in Niger state, Nigeria. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 776P. The low estimate is 607 and the high estimate is 1,877P. UCDP counts 314P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 30 regions of Nigeria with a page, Niger state has the 6th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Niger state holds 6 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 7 events in Niger state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 87P, which is up 1143 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Nigeria as a whole went from 714 to 1,430P, which is up 100 percent. Events of one-sided violence are 39 percentP of the events in Niger state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Nigeria, the share is 25 percentP.

Table 1. Niger state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events61787
Estimated deaths, best estimate18294776
Low estimate of deaths16170607
High estimate of deaths181,0041,877
Deaths of civilians149314

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 6 events in Niger state, Nigeria, in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 17 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Niger state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Niger state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 87 events with 776 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Niger state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP71P515P
Fulani6P80P
Gbagyi1P1P
Government of Nigeria5P49P
Gwari1P1P
JAS8P143P
JNIM1P0P
Kambari1P20P
Kamuku3P58P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Niger state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Niger state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Agwara lga4P66P
Borgu lga29P246P
Gbako lga2P5P
Kontagora lga2P2P
Mariga lga13P233P
Mashegu lga5P11P
Mokwa lga1P2P
Muya lga3P6P
Rafi lga8P70P
Shiroro lga6P105P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Niger state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict32P37%
Non-state conflict21P24%
One-sided violence against civilians34P39%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Niger state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20266P18PCandidate Events
August 202617P294PCandidate Events
July 202612P71PCandidate Events
June 202611P53PCandidate Events
May 202611P105PCandidate Events
April 20269P62PCandidate Events
March 20261P8PCandidate Events
February 202611P93PCandidate Events
January 20269P72PCandidate Events
June 202511GED
February 2025111GED
January 202513GED
December 2024440GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Nigeria: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Niger state, Nigeria: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/nigeria/niger-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Niger state, Nigeria in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 6 eventsP of organized violence in Niger state, Nigeria in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 17 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Niger state, Nigeria in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 776P. The low estimate is 607 and the high estimate is 1,877P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.