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Niger state, Nigeria: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Niger state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 5,556,247 (Wikidata).
Niger state, Nigeria saw 34 recorded events and 239 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. That is +55% on the preceding 90-day period.
The 12-month total for Niger state stands at 66 events and 482 estimated deaths. That is +843% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 448 and 874. 44% of events were classed as one-sided violence against civilians. Civilian deaths in the same period: 257. Relative to population, that is 11.9 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (29 events, 175 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Jun 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024
Events in Niger state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Niger state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Borgu lga | 21 | 167 |
| Rafi lga | 7 | 81 |
| Mariga lga | 7 | 23 |
| Shiroro lga | 6 | 106 |
| Agwara lga | 3 | 66 |
| Muya lga | 3 | 6 |
| Mashegu lga | 3 | 5 |
| Gbako lga | 2 | 5 |
| Kontagora lga | 2 | 2 |
| Mokwa lga | 1 | 2 |
45,564 internally displaced people recorded in Niger as of 31 Oct 2025. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Shiroro lga Niger state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 13 civilian, 9 sources | 83 70–83 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Rafi lga Niger state | Fulani vs Kamuku Non-state, 2 sources | 48 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Rafi lga Niger state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 18 |
| 9 Jun 2026 | Borgu lga Niger state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 12 civilian | 12 |
| 13 Jun 2026 | Mariga lga Niger state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 10 9–10 |
| 6 May 2026 | Agwara lga Niger state | Government of Nigeria vs JAS State-based | 7 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Borgu lga Niger state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 4 |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Rafi lga Niger state | Fulani vs Kamuku Non-state | 4 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Borgu lga Niger state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 3 civilian | 3 |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Borgu lga Niger state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 3 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 81 | 422 |
| JAS | 7 | 135 |
| Government of Nigeria | 5 | 56 |
| Fulani | 4 | 54 |
| Kamuku | 2 | 52 |
| Forces of Dogo Gide | 1 | 8 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 29 | 175 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 23 | 72 |
| JAS - Civilians | 5 | 125 |
| Fulani - Kamuku | 2 | 52 |
| Government of Nigeria - JAS | 2 | 10 |
| Government of Nigeria - Civilians | 1 | 38 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 23 | 35% |
| Non-state conflict | 14 | 21% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 29 | 44% |
Recent reports mentioning Niger state
- Nigeria: North-west Nigeria — Katsina State Flash Report 298 (23 August 2026) ReliefWeb, 16 Sep 2026
- Nigeria: North-west Nigeria - Zamfara State Flash Report 299 (24 August 2026) ReliefWeb, 16 Sep 2026
- UNHCR Nigeria Forcibly Displaced Populations Dashboard - 1 September 2026 ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
- UNHCR Lake Chad Basin: Nigerian Refugees & Repatriation Overview - 1 September 2026 ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
- UNHCR Nigeria Refugees & Asylum-seekers Dashboard - 1 September 2026 ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
- Accountability to Affected People (AAP) Assessment: Community Perceptions of Humanitarian Assistance, Communication and Feedback Mechanisms in Borno, Adamawa and Yobe (BAY) States, Northeast Nigeria ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
- WFP Nigeria Country Brief, August 2026 ReliefWeb, 13 Sep 2026
- IOM Nigeria Flash Report #296: Population Displacement - North-west Nigeria - Katsina State - Conflict/Attacks (11 September 2026) ReliefWeb, 12 Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Niger state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 66 organized-violence events in Niger state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 482 deaths (range 448 to 874).
Is violence in Niger state increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (34) were up +55% on the preceding 90 days (22).
Who are the main armed actors in Niger state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (81 events), JAS (7 events), Government of Nigeria (5 events), Fulani (4 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Niger state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Niger state, 44% of events over the last 12 months were one-sided violence against civilians.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Nigeria
Borno state · Plateau state · Zamfara state · Sokoto state · Benue state · Kaduna state · Katsina state · Kwara state · Kebbi state · Kogi state · Yobe state · Oyo state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.