Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

ConflictStats

Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Edition of November 2026

Made on UCDP data through Edition before: October 2026

Headline counts

Counts of all countries with a page. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Table 1. Headline counts in the edition of November 2026 and the edition of October 2026
CountThis editionEdition beforeChange
Events, 12 months to 30 Sep 202622,144P22,144Pno change
Estimated deaths, 12 months to 30 Sep 2026240,922P240,922Pno change
Deaths counted as deaths of civilians, 12 months to 30 Sep 202688,850P88,850Pno change
Events, September 20261,981P1,981Pno change
Estimated deaths, September 202613,260P13,260Pno change
Countries with a page4949no change
Regions with a page325325no change
Actors with a page130130no change

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

In this edition, search engines list 660 pages of countries, regions, actors, comparisons and monthly reports.

UCDP updates in this month

The change log has no entry dated in November 2026. Changes in the UCDP data

Events and estimated deaths by UCDP region

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 22,144P events in the 49 countries with a page. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 240,922P.

Table 2. The first 5 rows of the table in the edition of November 2026
RowNameFigureRow in the edition before
1Africa6,532P1
2Europe4,982P2
3Americas4,792P3
4Middle East3,269P4
5Asia2,569P5

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The full table of this finding, with the counts of the newest update.

Events by type of violence

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, state-based armed conflict was 63 percentP of the events in countries with a page. Non-state conflict was 24 percentP and one-sided violence against civilians was 13 percentP.

Table 3. The first 3 rows of the table in the edition of November 2026
RowNameFigureRow in the edition before
1State-based armed conflict13,932P1
2Non-state conflict5,291P2
3One-sided violence against civilians2,921P3

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The full table of this finding, with the counts of the newest update.

Civilian deaths as a share of estimated deaths

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the estimated deaths in countries with a page are 240,922P. UCDP counts 88,850P of them as deaths of civilians, which is 37 percent.

Table 4. The first 10 rows of the table in the edition of November 2026
RowNameFigureRow in the edition before
1Tanzania100%P1
2Sudan95%P2
3Myanmar72%P3
4DR Congo71%P4
5Afghanistan61%P5
6Syria59%P6
7Haiti48%P7
8Russia47%P8
9Cameroon46%P9
10Indonesia45%P10

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The full table of this finding, with the counts of the newest update.

Change in the count of events over 12 months

33 countries had 50 events or more in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the count of events was higher in 13, lower in 19 and level in 1 of them.

Table 5. The first 10 rows of the table in the edition of November 2026
RowNameFigureRow in the edition before
1Iran+518%1
2Colombia+101%2
3Nigeria+100%3
4Yemen+100%4
5Mali+58%5
6Somalia+42%6
7Cameroon+32%7
8Pakistan+31%8
9Burkina Faso+10%9
10Philippines+7%10

The full table of this finding, with the counts of the newest update.

Regions by count of events

337 regions have a page, in 49 countries. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the 10 regions with the highest counts hold 32 percentP of all events.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The full table of this finding, with the counts of the newest update.

How an edition is made

A program writes each edition from the counts that the bulletin shows in that month, with fixed sentence rules. A month keeps the counts of its last update.

A change compares this edition with the edition before. It is not a change in the UCDP data of one year. Candidate Events are preliminary, and UCDP revises them.

The row number is the place of a name in the table of the finding. A count of events is not a measure of danger. How the figures are made